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The Davis Files - Happy Valley

Brett Davis - Selections - Happy Valley - 21/10/20:

R1 - 1,12,2,6,3

R2 - 12,3,2,4,1

R3 - 2,4,10,5,11

R4 - 12,8,3,2,1

Race 5

#3 Murray’s Partners has drawn ideally in barrier three for his second start this season. In what looks a race where a solid case can be made for a handle full of runners, a good draw and a knowledgeable jockey can make all the difference. Karis Teetan has built a strong and successfully bond with this fellow since they first hooked up back in early June. First up he was hampered from the gates which put him on the back foot early, but he found the line with encouraging force suggesting he has maintained his excellent form from last season. He been a late maturing type that must rise again if he is to keep winning but it is highly likely he will eventually get to Class 3, now he has worked it all out.
#6 Daily Beauty is a similar type that is slightly less exposed with only the 11 starts. He also began hitting his straps at the end of June, over tonight's course and distance, with an encouraging win. There does not appear to be much separating the top two so potentially the extra run this campaign is in his favour. Ultimately, I am leaning towards this fellow becoming the better horse in time but tonight both can gain similar opportunities in the run, and there should not be much in it.
#8 Lucky Missile is the third galloper in this event that is a slow maturing character but he has also progressing nicely, now he has got his head around things. He finally picked up a race following the application of check pieces and was well punted in the process.
First up this season he was again well tried and looked a major player until he meet with interference approaching the home turn. Tonight the stables have gone the extra step of applying blinkers in an effort to make sure he remains focused. If they have the desired effect he can certainly atone and become a legitimate winning chance.
#4 Right Honourable returned to Class 4 company just prior to the end of last season and this is where he does his winning. He has been around long enough now to know he requires pace throughout and a drag in from the half mile to be at his best. Zac Purton has shown interest once again and takes the ride creating a line of confidence, the pair have not missed the frame yet when joining forces.
#2 Eligere is a horse I have made a case for on quite a few occasions and I thought he would have won by now. Top weight, wide barrier, The Valley for the first time and up in trip are all negatives as far as I am concerned. I have included him in the exotics in case they change tactics and he leads but all in all I think he is worth betting against. He can win without me if I have assessed him incorrectly.

Selections : 3,6,8,4,2

R6 - 1,3,4,5,6

R7 - 3,2,7,5,4

Race 8

#9 Amazing Kiwi found the awkward draw and the 1000m difficult to handle first up but looked more than handy next outing when stepping to 1200m. He got under most peoples guard, including mine, but in review there were clues to suggest he could win. Douglas Whyte sent him to Conghua (China Training Complex) following an up and down campaign last season. He won a trial there under his own steam recording a decent time and obviously did extremely well, settling in to the relaxing environment. There are reservations surrounding his ability to back up that victory particularly with more weight. It is worth noting however he was immediately sent straight back to Conghua following the win and has since returned only a few days ago.
#7 Prince Of Gems has done very little wrong since resuming from a long break in the new stable of Anthony Millard. Both performances this campaign have been extremely encouraging and he gives the impression there is plenty of scope to further improve. He will race at The Valley for the first time tonight which has caused headaches for talented gallopers in the past. However, what is in his favour is the the rail to follow from gate one and the experience of a trial at the track, even though it was ten months ago.
#1 Californiadeepshot must improve if he’s going to turn things around on Amazing Kiwi from their last meeting and trainer Tony Cruz is under no allusion, he needs assistance. He has called for the claiming rider Alfred Chan to reduce the load by 7lbs along with adding addition head gear. I would expect those changes to have the desired effect and a decent response is likely. A must include in all bet types.
#5 High Rise Soldier has only had the one run on this circuit and it was a ripper. He is a very highly strung horse who is mentally not there yet and on quite a few occasions beats himself, by over-racing. It is likely they will scorch along early which can certainly
assist his cause.  If he applies the required focus and performs tractably and polished he is good enough to win.
#6 Flying Bonus is another who gets himself dialled up, before and during a race, and it has also cost him victory on many occasions.
He sweats up badly behind the gates and often burns himself out way before they even get underway. He is talented enough to be competitive but on most occasions gives himself away.

Selections : 9,7,1,5,6

Form for the Hong Kong Jockey Club's meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday.

The eight race broadcast commences at 10.15pm AEST, 7.15pm HKT, on Sky Racing1 and Thoroughbred Central.

ThoroughbredNEWS has live streaming of the complete Hong Kong Jockey Club broadcast commencing at 9.45pm AEST - go to LIVE STREAMING.

Form includes Racing And Sports complete form service, neurals, worksheet and customised form guide.

Click on the HKJC form guide banner for Racingandsports.com form and select race.

Here Comes Ted and Karis Teetan winning at Happy Valley. picture Hong Kong Jockey Club

 

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