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Boxing Clever Weekender with Gerard Daffy

RadioTAB and Sky Sports Radio’s ‘greyhound guru’ GERARD DAFFY delivers his thoughts on the weekend, ahead of the Thursday night action and offers his experienced opinion plus a tip or two.

KOBLENZ FOR TAB MELBOURNE CUP

KOBLENZ scraped into the TAB Melbourne Cup final this week after he dead-heated with JEPARA in a controversial race last week, but from a good draw in Box 3 I think he is the one to beat in the $500,000 to the winner final at Sandown on Friday night.

The track last week was a little on the heavy side, and that was a telling factor in the drive to the line when Jepara was able to grab a share of the major prize in 29.43, which was nearly three lengths outside the best of the night.

Koblenz did set the race up with his explosive early pace (5.05) and that was on the back of a 4.98 early split in a win at the same track the previous week. With Jepara on his inside in Box 2, and ASTON RUPEE outside him in Box 4, Koblenz should be able to find his feet quickly out of the boxes, get to the fence and from then on it is just a matter if they can run him down.

There may be one little doubt with that theory, and that hinges around the red runner, AUSSIE SECRET. Not much has gone right for the Jason Thompson kennel over the last 6-8 weeks, but they have Aussie Secret into the final, and he may well be a major player if he can get the start right off the red box. Aussie Secret is capable of getting down to around 5.05 early, but he does get to the middle of the track after the start, so that could create problems for the rest of the field.

I think Koblenz can cross him.

One runner that looks tremendous value at $17 with TAB is Jepara, even taking into account he dead-heated with Koblenz last week, if he is tardy to begin he should get a really nice run up behind Aussie Secret heading into the first turn.

So for me, it is Koblenz to win, but have a saver on Jepara at the big price!

Check out the latest TAB Greyhound markets here.

RICHES FOR RUBY

THE G1 Bold Trease over the 715 metre trip will be Race 5 on the terrific programme at Sandown, and after she returned to her best last week, it looks a race perfectly set up for MEPUNGA RUBY.

A veteran of only 22 starts, Mepunga Ruby has shown she is one of the nation’s best stayers since making the transition to the longer races. After stalking multiple G1 winner GYPSY WYONG in the heat last week, she proved too strong winning in 41.63.

Mepunga Ruby will exit from the white box in the final, and that looks a sensational draw with the red runner, UNTAPPED, expected to lead, get off the track, and leave plenty of room for the $2.25 TAB favourite, along with Gypsy Wyong.

The latter looks to be the measuring stick again as the map has her getting into second spot behind Untapped early, but with Mepunga Ruby back to her best after a little setback, she looks the one to beat.

Sydneysider LINE OF QUALITY was able to capitalise on a scrimmage on the first turn when he won his heat in a really good 41.72, but he would need to leave the boxes in a much more timely manner than he did last week. This field has a heap of depth and it will be difficult to give some fast stayers a big start.

DRACO BALE from the outside draw might be a roughie for exotic players, he has always shown a liking for outside draws and was quite a handy effort when second to Untapped last week.

Don’t miss catch up episodes of The Catching Pen.

LOUIS TO RUMBLE AT CASINO

CLASSY Northern Rivers greyhound LOUIS RUMBLE gets his chance to add another Cup to his trophy cabinet when he contests the Casino Cup this (Thursday) evening.

Louis Rumble is one of the most underrated greyhounds going around. He has won 22 of his 40 starts, and if he can collect the $25,000 cheque on offer at Casino, that will take his stake-money to just a few dollars shy of $200k. He won the Ipswich Cup three starts ago, and that was after finishing a narrow second in the Lismore Cup.

Master trainer Steve Kavanagh has the black speedster flying at the moment. He won his heat last week in 27.07, just a couple of lengths outside of the track record. On that occasion he was drawn well in Box 2, and goes out to Box 7 in the final, but looking at those drawn around him he should clear the outside division (he did run 2.66 early last week). He just needs to nail the start to ensure he gets across MITCHELL STREET and veteran FIRE LEGEND.

The short run to the first turn at Casino always makes for interesting viewing, fingers crossed Louis Rumble can get across and the race should be his.

Check out the latest TAB Futures markets here.

FERDINAND BOOK CHASING ANOTHER CUP

PROLIFIC Country Cups King FERDINAND BOY suffered a shock loss in a heat of the Devonport Chase (ex Cup) last Tuesday week, but with the benefit of that run on the track, he looks the one to beat in Friday afternoon’s final.

Already with three cups this year on his CV (Healesville, Ballarat and Shepparton), and a $50,000 bonus in the bag for achieving that feat, Ferdinand Boy was beaten by ASTON LEE in his heat with the winner running 25.21 which was the best of the day.

The box draw has done no favours at all for Aston Lee, a desperate railer, he will be leaving from the pink box where he is winless from eight attempts. In a race that does appear to lack pace, Ferdinand Boy should step to the front from Box 3 and add another feature win to his already impressive credentials. Unbeaten youngster SACRED STANCE has drawn inside Ferdinand Boy in Box 2, if the favourite misses the start, he looks the other logical hope to lead.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEKEND

Sandown Friday: R5 No.3 Mepunga Ruby.

VALUE BET OF THE WEEKEND

Sandown Friday: R6-No.8 Music Event.

Gerard Daffy is part of the TAB Media team based in Queensland. Gerard can be heard daily on RadioTAB which includes his popular Thursday morning program, On The Lure and Sky Sports Radio.

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