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The Davis Files - Sha Tin

Brett Davis - Selections - Sha Tin - 05/12/21

Race 1

#2 Joyful Heart has not won a race for two years but on fitness alone he is the horse to beat. The two runs over 2000m in the last couple have topped him off beautifully for his debut on the All Weather track over 1800m. With Purton again behind the wheel he will race handy and take a stack of running down whether he leads or just sits in. This is not just a simple throw at the stumps coming on to this surface, both horse and rider combined to win a trial on it at the back end of last season.
#5 Tycoon has taken a long time to find the form showed as a youngster in South Australia but finally looks ready to win.
As Rapid Bay down under the damper tracks were certainly to his liking so it is no surprise to see him enjoying the All Weather track in Hong Kong. Now 21 points lower than his original arrival rating of 71 he looks to have found his level and a winnable race to start covering some expenses. If he can register a win he could well go on with it by winning a few more.
#10 Owners’ Star is on the cusp rating of 40 points so he is subsequently eligible for this race and the easier Class 5 over 1650m which is race 4. Today he returns to the dirt surface where he has been placed in the past, he is also drawn well and has won second up, like he is today. He therefore goes in as a contender for the aforementioned reasons.
#9 Yes We Can is worthy of entertaining following a strong closing fourth last start. He is ideally placed in the lower grade of Class 5, which is where he has won, but nevertheless can still find the line well enough to be involved. The booking of Alexis Badel increases his chance and you would be brave to leave him out of any calculations.
#3 Dragon Commander was tailed off at the end of his last start but I am overlooking that effort and the run prior. He was quite solid first up and does have a liking for the All Weather surface so I will not be surprised if he bounces back. With Moriera also aborting the last start as defeated favourite you will receive a far better price.

Selections : 2,5,10,9,3

R2 - 11,6,5,1,2

R3 - 1,11,2,3,12

R4 - 4,1,7,8,13

Race 5

#1 Pegasus Glory is trained by the maestro when it comes to All Weather racing. The Me Tsui stable have over the years built a reliable record when placing horses to win on this particular surface. With two good runs under the belt, the plum alley in gate 1 and Vincent Ho jumping aboard there is a recipe for success on the table here and hopefully it is tasty and enjoyed.
#10 Chiron makes his debut on the dirt and I expect him to run well from the good draw. He was solid first up before tiring the final 100m and the addition of blinkers looks a positive adjustment. It is not a strong contest to win and I expect him to be thereabouts otherwise I will need to reassess his ability.
#12 Valiant Elegance is searching for the drop in class but he will still make his presence felt for a long way. He will have to push hard early to cross from out deep but once he does he will keep rolling. He has been a declared roarer on more than one occasion so he is risky through the final stages but I would rather him in than leave him out.
#9 Lucky Ruby shall be fitter for the two runs back and has a liking for this surface. Interestingly he found the line hard following a sluggish start last outing which surprised as he has so far been weak. That tactical adjustment may well be the better option going forward but I firstly want to see it unfold that way again.
#6 Fiery Diamond is the potential blow out in this tricky little affair and I would be treating him with caution. His pedigree suggests he was born to race on dirt and his trials prior to his debut run suggest the same. He goes in as the final selection primarily due to a lack of race experience but it’s certainly subject to change on the day.

Selections : 1,10,12,9,6

R6 - 2,9,4,7,6

R7 - 8,3,7,4,2

Race 8

#2 Cordyceps Six is furnishing into a smart young horse following a successful griffin series at the end of last season. Chad Schofield has had a fabulous association with trainer Richard Gibson over many years and the pair team up for a final crack at victory before the former returns home to Australia. The form around this three-year-old reads outstandingly well and from the ideal barrier I expect what ever beats him to win.
#6 Run Run Cool does meet Cordyceps Six far better at the weights but it will not be enough I do not reckon to turn the result around. Both are still improving with races to win but the on top selection looks a little special. Nevertheless he should be holding a spot in the frame when the judge calls a halt.
#11 Super Fortune was superb on debut and justified his 1.5 quote with an effortless win. His opening 200m split of 13.34 was comfortable and fast enough to lead on debut. They will go quicker here through that same initial portion which shall immediately place him under pressure and in to uncharted waters. There is plenty to like about this boy going forward and I am fascinated to see how well he copes with it all.
#3 Metro Warrior is a fierce competitive beast who adores straight racing at Sha Tin. Today’s barrier of gate 4 is not ideal but with Purton aboard they will still be in the hunt from the outset and looking to cross. The scales suggested he was heavy first up and he will be better tuned with that under the belt. The win strike rate does not read well but in his defence he has been beaten small margins on plenty of occasions.
#10 Seizing The Moment has plenty to learn as fived-year-old but there is a decent engine under the hood. The barriers a turn off over this track and trip but not impossible to overcome. I like the fact he has broken 22.00 seconds his final 400m at both starts and is worthy of following.

Selections : 2,6,11,3,10

R9 - 2,1,10,7,9

R10 - 13,10,3,1,2

Form for the Hong Kong Jockey Club's meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.

The 10 race broadcast commences at 4.00pm AEST, 1.00pm HKT, on Sky Racing2, from 4.30pm AEST on Sky Racing1 and from 6.00pm AEST on Sky Racing1 and Thoroughbred Central.

ThoroughbredNEWS has live streaming of the complete Hong Kong Jockey Club broadcast commencing at 3.30pm AEST - go to LIVE STREAMING.

Form includes Racing And Sports complete form service, neurals, worksheet and customised form guide.

Click on the HKJC form guide banner for Racingandsports.com form and select race.

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