Brett Davis - Selections - Sha Tin - 17/10/21
#2 God Of Dragon with the two runs now under the belt appears ready to strike. Returning to Sha Tin and the 2000m are big positives for this low grade galloper. Jerry Chau has gotten to know him well since he has arrived in the stable of Douglas Whyte and together they should take plenty of beating in the first of the day.
#5 Dragon Commander has found the mile a little sharp at his two runs back but a return to 2000m looks ideal. Moriera also reunites after the pair put two wins on the board at the end of last season. The good draw and fitness level take him a long way in this even contest and he is still well in from his initial arrival rating of 80.
#4 Awe finished 3rd over this distance in class 3 last season and arrives well prepared for the step up in journey. Barrier 1 enables him to position well in the initial stages and thereafter likely do no work throughout. The run on the All Weather last outing is a complete forgive and I anticipate a strong competitive effort this afternoon.
#1 Ezra has found good form over the last six months and pound for pound he is the horse to beat. He was dominant winning first up over the mile and that performance suggested he would be hard to beat again. The 2000m start point however is tricky, add to that gate 11 plus top weight and you are already making legitimate excuses.
#11 Daily Charm has struggled to win in Class 4 but his two minor placings recently have elevated him to this grade. There is a real lack of speed in this contest and although I feel he is better ridden patiently I can envisage him rolling forward and perhaps even leadIng. If he is out in front with no weight to shoulder it is likely he will run a good race for a long way.
Selections : 2,5,4,1,11
R2 - 12,7,6,3,2
R3 - 7,1,8,2,10
R4 - 3,11,1,5,4
R5 - 5,7,1,6,12
The Premier Bowl
#6 Courier Wonder has not raced since the Sha Tin Vase where he put away most of these horses carrying 118lbs. It is a different ball game on this occasion as he is giving away race fitness and another 2lbs in the handicap. He has performed well in two barrier trials in which he has won and his body weight of 1188lbs suggests he is in excellent shape. This is a contest I feel he is potentially vulnerable, however, I am prepared to give him the benefit of doubt due to his potential super star qualities.
#12 Naboo Attack is a monster in size and superbly handicapped off the 114lbs. I would have preferred a wider draw as his bulk is something that concerns me particularly if he must quicken amongst traffic. He has not been in Hong Kong long but seemingly has most of the attributes to take him to the very top. If he could settle a touch closer in running that would definitely help, nevertheless the speed anticipated early shall be in his favour at the end.
#7 Super Wealthy has reached an all time peak in the rating following a superb pair of wins down the straight 1000m. David Hayes has rejuvenated his spirit by removing all head gear and reducing him in distance. This contest is likely to be run to suit his closing speed with the draw giving him every chance. It is a question of raw ability now he takes on the big boys.
#1 Sky Field must carry all the weight due to his established high level and shall likely be overlooked by a few. When set weight races arrive over the next few months he will be far more respected and understandably so due to those particular race profiles. Mind you many thought that first up when he almost won and it is worth remembering he is undefeated second up.
#11 Harmony And Rich has plenty to prove at this untried lofty level but thoroughly deserves this opportunity. The Happy Valley record is undeniable and he is clearly still on the up, but he will cop a battering of pressure today right from the very start. Should he absorb that successfully and continue thereafter responding then he is worthy of far future respect.
Selections : 6,12,7,1,11
R7 - 5,9,3,8,10
The Shatin Trophy
#2 Ka Ying Star received some down time at Conghua during the off season before completing his preparation in good head space. The lack of speed suits his race pattern perfectly and I expect him to dictate and lead. He will more than likely look vulnerable when the whips are cracking due to the big weight but generally he continues finding even when he looks burned.
#10 Tourbillon Diamond should drop into a trail behind the aforementioned leader Ka Ying Star and the big pull in the weights is on his side. He was very competitive during last year's four-year-old series and first up run particularly well. Alexis Badel’s been by his side throughout this campaign and I would be surprised if they did not feature in the finish.
#7 Sky Darci was excellent in return and Hong Kong’s 2021 Derby Champion shall be sharper second up. In fact, if more tactical speed was prevalent on paper he would have gone on top but the gate and lack of tempo are concerns. It would not be expected, as there are bigger fish to fry, but a potential jump and run tactic change could possibly be on the cards. If they take that option and roll the dice early he is the horse I want to be on.
#3 Waikuku has been off the scene for six months and is one of the most intriguing runners of the day. The dual Group 1 winner was put away following blood in the trachea issues back in April and subsequently given the necessary time to fully recover his health. There is no doubt he will be jumping out of his skin and his body weight of 1129lbs says he is not carrying anything extra.
#5 Panfield closed out last season with a Group 1 win over 2400m and is the other runner creating interest first up. You would imagine he would be eyeing off longer races, but his current preparation structure says he could well fire first up. Drawn well and likely to do no work in the run he should not be sent out at to bigger price.
Selections : 2,10,7,3,5
R9 - 2,9,4,11,6
R10 - 2,1,12,3,6
Form for the Hong Kong Jockey Club's meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.
The 10 race broadcast commences at 4.00pm AEST, 1.00pm HKT, on Sky Racing2, from 4.30pm AEST on Sky Racing1, from 5.00pm AEST on Sky Racing2, from 6.00pm AEST on Sky Racing1 adn from 6.35pm AEST on Sky Racing1 and Thoroughbred Central.
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Sky Darci and Joao Moreira, picture Hong Kong Jockey Club