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The Davis Files - Happy Valley

Brett Davis - Selections - Happy Valley - 17/04/24

Rail - C Course

Race 1

#5 SUPER AXIOM has plenty in his favour tonight with a drop back in class, a return to the minimum distance at Happy Valley and 10lbs claiming rider Ellis Wong booked to take the reigns. He also possesses exceptional gate speed which should assure he is the dominant leader for a long period of this contest. His overall form this season does however read fair but it won’t get any easy for him than what it does tonight.

#3 HERO STAR is better know for winning his races over 1200m but at the same time has not had many opportunities over the shorter journey of 1000m.
This 1000m contest coincides with his first drop into Class 5 and he has enough power from the gates to position nicely. With a 5lbs claim for rider Angus Cheung, and a likely trail on the leaders back throughout, means he will be there to cut down SUPER AXIOM and company when they turn for home.

#7 MODEST GENTLEMEN won a race almost identical to this back in January and the key on that occasion was the low and favourable draw.
He has had a transfer of stable leading into this outing and now resides in the competent hands of Dennis Yip. A recent track work gallop against Hong Kong Derby winner MASSIVE SOVEREIGN was a satisfying piece of work so I would be including him in everything.

#6 SWEET DIAMOND ran a nice race to just go under behind HAPPY HORSE two start back and is worthy of consideration after another hearty effort last start. He is a winner in Class 4 for this jockey Alexis Badel but unfortunately draws another ugly and awkward barrier. He is tactically adaptable and it is predicated he will race handy, meaning he will need luck, but he is a consistent animal recently and is close to another win.

#8 TIMESTORM has been a disappointing purchase that continually catches the eye and he did that again last start over the longer journey of 1200m.
Hugh Bowman is a rider that has been able to extract honest efforts from him on most occasions so he is worth of consideration. There is no doubt his best effort would be good enough to win this but he is running out of chances to get it done.

Selections : 5,3,7,6,8

R2 - 1,8,2,10,6

Race 3

#10 DAN ATTACK has always had his fair share of ability but its taken time to put it all together and produce. It appears trainer Jamie Richards is finally getting to the bottom of him and working out exactly what makes him tick. Taking off all the head gear and leaving the tongue tie on has certainly been the essence of better results, but, cheek pieces have now also been added. The widish draw means he will need a fraction of good fortune early but he still remains one of the better options.

#9 PARENT’S LOVE does not possess a great deal of race experience at this point but has shown some encouraging signs. He steps up in distance tonight to 1200m and draws much nicer than at his previous couple of starts. Angus Chung has been with him his entire preparation and now he’s fully fit I would expected him to position on speed. With the inside barrier to leave from he is going to do no work and therefore worthy of including in all calculations.

#2 SAKEWIN won his last race of a rating of 70 points at Sha Tin in January 2023 when he lead throughout to score. Now he is rated 59 points and finds his way into Class 4, for just the second time, he should be seriously considered. He also won his only attempt in this grade on debut and despite the wide draw he faces should be finding the lead. He is fit and dangerous for familiar rider Mathew Poon especially if he secures what he wants in front.

#4 EXUBERANT is racing consistently and should be entertained on that basis alone because he remains nicely rated. He and Jerry Chau have put together a fairly solid season so far with one win and three minor placings from seven starts. The expected speed of this event looks perfect for his closing style, but the key to victory is finding the clearest path and unimpeded run down the stretch.

#5 SUPERB WITNESS has drawn poorly for his second career start but I would not be underestimating his chance of improving. He has raced in the same interests as the almighty SILENT WITNESS and the owners are yet to purchase a galloper that does not know how to run. In his two trials at Happy Valley, prior to his debut, he closed in well from behind so expect him to appreciate the additional 200m on offer.

Selections : 10,9,2,4,5

R4 - 5,1,6,3,2

R5 - 4,7,9,3,1

R6 - 2,10,1,11,8

R7 - 6,2,8,9,5

R8 - 8,6,10,4,3

R9 - 4,2,10,5,11

Form for the Hong Kong Jockey Club's meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday night.

The nine race broadcast commences at 8.40pm AEST, 6.40pm HKT, on Sky Racing1 and Thoroughbred Central.

ThoroughbredNEWS has live streaming of the complete Hong Kong Jockey Club broadcast commencing at 8.10pm AEST - go to LIVE STREAMING.

Form includes Racing And Sports complete form service from basic field details to useful tools such as Ratings, Neurals, Time Report Tables and Worksheets.

Click on the HKJC form guide banner for Racingandsports.com form and select race.

Vincent Ho and Holy Lake winning at Sha Tin on Sunday, picture Hong Kong Jockey Club

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