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The Davis Files - Happy Valley

Brett Davis - Selections - Happy Valley - 23/09/20

R1 - 6,1,11,3,4

R2 - 4,5,3,12,7

Race 3

#11 Ardenode arrived to Hong Kong as an 80 rated galloper following an almost faultless 2yo career in France. He was a young, immature and no doubt intimidated when he first stepped off the plane in to the jungle that is Hong Kong Racing. That lack of general life experience got the better of him mentally, his body also struggled to adapt with multiple front leg injuries occurring and then re-occurring. Time and patience however see him arrive at the races tonight, over three years since his last win, his rating now at an all time low of 45 points. But the signs of soundness and happiness within were finally evident again at the end of last season, with two hearty runs in to the minor money. Tonight he is exceptionally well placed with no weight and the confidence of two strong trials underneath the saddle, suggesting he is right on track to start winning again.
#2 Namjong Sings has been a frustrating and costly conveyance for those that have shown previous financial interest in the Danny Shum trained runner, and yes I am one of them. He was relegated to this grade at the end of last season and the two runs following have been at 1200m. First up this preparation he did all the heavy lifting and was right there until the final 150m, it was a good solid performance. Tonight he is drawn ideally in gate four, with all the alternative speed drawn out, so Purton can position nicely whatever the opposing tactics maybe. I have been burned by this fella on numerous occasions and should just watch him go around, but it all seemingly adds up for what could be his best ever performance.
#9 Farm Bumper has a solid record over a 1000m at The Valley which automatically puts him in to contention. His only win to date came in Class 5 for this jockey and he has been ultra consistent since, but he has struggled to find that extra length required to win against the better opponents. That being said he is a late maturer and I am confident he can lift the bar higher this time in.
#8 Wild West Wing has draw awkward in Gate 9 and shall need luck to find cover, but Moreira rides so it is more than a possibility, after his six winners last Sunday. Interestingly, Moreira rode #11 Ardenode in a trial at the end of August and I suspect had the option here to ride either of the two. Having said that he has been aboard this galloper every start and he is yet to win, so there is definitely loyalty on display for one reason or another.
#4 Forza Angel had a torrid trip first up and tired noticeably over the final 100m. His most recent win was this course and distance but it was two seasons ago and off a much higher mark. He has always appreciated cut in the track so I am expecting more confidence through the market if that is the case tonight, either way he is not far off another win.

Selections : 11,2,9,8,4

R4 - 2,10,9,8,4

R5 - 11,10,4,5,6

R6 - 4,9,3,1,12

Race 7

#10 Cantstopthefeeling was the on top selection first up and despite his defeat ran a super competitive race, considering how it unfolded. From Gate 10 he did not get in and was forced thereafter to roll forward from the 800m and take up the lead. It was the right decision and a prudent ride by Alexis Badel as he managed to finish an honest third, after being run down the final 100m. With Gate 6 tonight and the experience of a race under their belts, both horse and rider should enjoy cover shortly after the jump. This is a strong Class 3 but I am quietly confident and prepared to back up through all bet types.
#2 Metro Warrior in time has the scope and ability to develop in to the best horse in this race. His first up win was tradesman like over the 1000m at shatin and there is definitely more wins to follow. The issue for him tonight is the tricky gate, plus his ability to handle the sharpness of the valley track. He cannot afford to be on and off the bridal looking uncomfortable at any stage, which I think is a distinct possibility, so there are some reservations tonight. Zac Purton however shall be well aware of all my mentioned concerns and probably will just sort it out.
#1 Californiadeepshot was extremely impressive when leading all the way from the outside barrier on debut, back in January. He has not been able to win since but he is more than held his own carrying big weights, which have anchored him over the final stages. Now a 4yo he will return a tough and almost fully furnished galloper with a Tony Cruz off season under his belt.
#4 Beauty Spark has completed preparations for tonights seasonal debut at the Conghua training complex in China. A soft trial recently was satisfactory and from Gate 1 with the 7lb claim he will likely get all the favours.
#3 Seven Heavens has start thirty tonight but only one win on the board to show for it. He is a genuine back marker and what suits his race style tonight is the likely hot speed. It is worth noting he looked good winning a straight 1000m trial recently and if he gets the breaks in running, look out.

Selection : 10,2,1,4,3

R8 - 7,1,5,11,3

Form for the Hong Kong Jockey Club's meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday.

The eight race broadcast commences at 9.15pm AEST, 7.15pm HKT, on Sky Racing1 and Thoroughbred Central.

ThoroughbredNEWS has live streaming of the complete Hong Kong Jockey Club broadcast commencing at 8.45pm AEST - go to LIVE STREAMING.
Form includes Racing And Sports complete form service, neurals, worksheet and customised form guide.

Click on the HKJC form guide banner for Racingandsports.com form and select race.

Six for Joao Moreira at Sha Tin on Sunday, picture Hong Kong Jockey Club

 

 

 

 

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