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Racepal previews for Warwick Farm, Sandown-Hillside and Sunshine Coast on Wednesday

Racepal.com.au previews for Warwick Farm, Sandown-Hillside and Sunshine Coast on Wednesday - race by race previews

WARWICK FARM

Track: Good 4

Rail: +3m entire

Weather:  Fine

A potentially leader-friendly day awaits us at Warwick Farm on Wednesday owing to the dry conditions and a +3m rail. This was certainly the pattern at the last ‘rail-out’ meeting here.

RACE 1 - 2YO Handicap (1400m)

Speed map/race shape: Dorothy Of Oz is the leader here from the Waterhouse/Bott yard, no shock there. Bandersnatch can go with her, giving Witchblade and Antonio Padre cover.

Advantaged runners: Three of the 14 are winners and BANDERSNATCH did it in dominant fashion last start at this trip. Fellow pace-maker DOROTHY OF OZ hasn’t been able to sprint with good ones (including Libertini!) over shorter and presents third up. They’ll be hard to pass but ANTONIO PADRE will get the first crack. He gets the gun run and comes out of a handy Saturday race. RARI can use the good draw to settle better than midfield and he was unlucky behind boom horse Reloaded on debut. OLYMPIC, SAINT AMBROSE and MOCAMBO draw awkwardly and will likely all go back – perhaps the Saint can position closest of them.

RACE 2 - 3YO Benchmark 66 Handicap (1300m)

Speed map/race shape: Just seven runners but a couple of them will be keen to get rolling. Quick Nick can lead from Smart Horse and Ulusaba, with Bergen and Plenty off them.

Advantaged runners: Most will get their chance given the small field but decent tempo. PLENTY has found early speed and improved fortunes at his last couple and was only beaten by a smart filly last time out. Won’t lead here but may not end up going any slower in the run. He’ll have BERGEN for company, who is unbeaten in two attempts at this trip despite doing it tough last time out. Both will be chasing after SMART HORSE, freshened after hard run in the Bendigo Guineas and the first up ULUSABA who will be better over further.

RACE 3 - 3YO Benchmark 68 Handicap (1600m)

Speed map/race shape: Northern Voyage and Foxy’s Foxinator can take this one up and run them along over the mile, with Rexx and Time Raid trailing that speed.

Advantaged runners: Once again it is a three-year-olds only event and there’s many converging form lines. Anticipating the leaders will set this up for a strong miler and PERFECT PITCH looks a key candidate. She ran second twice at this venue behind stronger horses than these rivals, then sat outside the leader and stuck on well in the Wagga Guineas. Likewise FUN FACT just keeps racing but has been contesting much harder including Group-class events. He won’t know himself here but does get 61.5kgs. REXX has been freshened and may need the run, while TIME RAID shows considerable promise but this is a big step up. Can’t discount NORTHERN VOYAGE with this expected track pattern.

RACE 4 - 3YO+ Benchmark 70 Handicap (2200m)

Speed map/race shape: Soldier Of Love and Angel Of Heaven look the two to go forward in the stayers event. Anthony Cummings’ fillies Loves To Rock and Mrs Madrid can be next.

Advantaged runners: The strongest proven stayers here are the topweights. BAJAN GOLD is overdue to win and brings the Free Fly Too form line, which was franked on Saturday. He’ll likely give them a big start though. ZOFFANY’S LAD may end up in the second half from a wide gate, but he powered away from them in a similar event over 1900m last start. Looking at the three-year-olds outside of that. SOLDIER OF LOVE and ANGEL OF HEAVEN can control the pace, we’ll find out if they can stay the trip. Cummings pair LOVES TO ROCK and MRS MADRID are in a similar boat – but at least that foursome should have it run to suit.

RACE 5 – 3YO+ Fillies & Mares Benchmark 70 Handicap (1200m)

Speed map/race shape: Nangami and Echo Gem look to set a solid pace here over 1200m and should give Dreaming For More and Cuban Sizzle a good cart across to settle handily. Moccasin Miss and Apertif won’t be far away from the inside either, expect a hot tempo.

Advantaged runners: Ron Quinton may have another smart filly here. NANGAMI has led up at both starts and still turned in strong closing splits to win. This is her toughest test and despite the expected pressure, has the talent to win. ECHO GEM will keep her company, she put in a strong effort in Saturday grade last start and that fitness base, plus dropping back to 1200m, puts her right in this. APERTIF switches to the Sydney way of going after failing in Melbourne Saturday company, she bears watching. Obviously MOCASSIN MISS and CUBAN SIZZLE are up there too. No knock on DOLLY’S DUE, just the draw/pattern a not ideal here.

RACE 6 - 4YO+ Benchmark 70 Handicap (1600m)

Speed map/race shape: Vontaine can bounce to the front here, she’s up in trip and should have the pace to lead Latin Light, Pelorous Jack and Seababe.

Advantaged runners: Much depends on how VONTAINE handles the step from 1300m to the mile. She’s had excuses at her past two but still been disappointing. She’s up in trip and back in grade, a good formula. If she runs them along PRIMITIVO comes right into play. He needs a smart ride from McDonald, but the blinkers go back on to sharpen him up and he should be fit enough third up. PELOROUS JACK will have the jump on him in running, he ran well in Saturday grade last start (The Fuchu/Agassi form is good) and just edged out VEGA prior, that runner subsequently had the better of KAAPFEVER last time. Both will be running on.

RACE 7 - 3YO+ Benchmark 70 Handicap (1400m)

Speed map/race shape: Good speed in the finale. Catmostphere and El Mo lead on our map from any of Charretera, Bravissimo and Snipes crossing from the deep. Destiny’s Own and Bringagem won’t want to be far away, but the latter draws widest and may need to slot in.

Advantaged runners: A horse like CHARRETERA gets all the favours here from a low draw and just needs gaps to open upon straightening. He hit a new peak second up and races like the extra trip will suit. The other on-pacers may need to work a bit in the run, giving the likes of KING HEWITT their chance from further back. He was held up over this trip first up, second has won since and this tempo should suit. It was a similar story for GUIPURE first up who was caught in inferior going. He’ll be making a similar run and will be better for the outing. Waller has three here, MATOWI makes the best case to us – he’s first up, with a couple of aborted returns this prep. But he does bring highly regarded form from his summer prep around Vegadaze and Cossetot. He’s also in the run-on team.

SANDOWN HILLSIDE

Track: Good 4

Rail: +13m entire

Weather: Fine

The rail shifts to the +13m position today on the Hillside track, out from +8m last week. There the winners came down the middle and it wouldn’t surprise to seem them scouting wide again to the better, unused ground.

RACE 1 - 2YO Handicap (1000m)

Speed map/race shape: We begin with a dog-leg dash and half a dozen are on debut. Sartorial Splendour and Taraayef will go forward from wide gates, so too Logan’s Blade and Oh So Rewarding.

Advantaged runners: There are two clear picks among the raced horses. SARTORIAL SPLENDOUR waltzed in on debut then wasn’t too bad in the rich Vobis Showdown. Back to 1000m looks a positive. TARAAYEF maps for an identical run to her debut when putting the heat on Absolute Flirt, a subsequent Stakes winner. Of the debutants, NOT A SINGLE SECRET and CELESTIAL WARRIOR have won trials/jumpouts and have notable jockey bookings. Can’t leave out AEROZOOM either from the flying Anthony Freedman yard.

RACE 2 - 4YO+ Mares Benchmark 70 Handicap (1000m)

Speed map/race shape: Expecting a good battle for the front here. Segouin, Kaplic and Petite’s Reward are among those who can lead, but none of Scappare, Kyzamba, Atlantica or Chalcidian will want to be far away. Perhaps a beehive formation here?

Advantaged runners: Pressure, pressure, pressure. Keep coming back to the class mare KYZAMBA who, despite still carrying 59.5kgs after the claim, might have the most sustained speed of the lot. SCAPPARE is a good fresh sprinting mare and may be similarly willing to let the action unfold in front of her, which is also the case for SOUL STAR. She’s always ‘running on’ and this is the kind of race that may allow her to turn that ‘nearly’ into a win. ATLANTICA is a query back to 1000m but will be in the finish, while KAPLIC will be doing her best to hang on as she did over the boys last start.


RACE 3 - Benchmark 64 Handicap 2400m

Speed map/race shape: Capacity field for the staying event. Pour Vous will go forward from out wide although it is unclear who will go with him. Expect Paragon, Count Zero and Danger in Devon to all be handy enough drawn underneath him.

Advantaged runners: The 3YO AMERICAN IN PARIS must carry 59kgs after the claim against older horses, but brings the most upside to this event. He also has the form via placings in the Listed Galillee Final and VRC St Leger. Can use the low draw like last time to settle better than midfield and we know he stays the trip. So too does SKELM who is ready for this trip fourth up, his Grinzinger Star/Divanation form is more than handy. He was not quite a length in front of POUR VOUS last start who is more than just a pace maker in this company. MANNING ROAD is alays charging through the line at this trip and will be doing so again, while AROHATA and RUE DE RENNES are mares down in the weights who can feature.

RACE 4 - Benchmark 84 Handicap (1600m)

Speed map/race shape: Fairly straightforward speed map. Intueri should jump to the front from the inside gate, Travimyfriend joining him, and Mr Epic and Lord Durate in the trail.

Advantaged runners: INTUERI is the one they all need to catch. Provided Travimyfriend doesn’t give him too much grief, he can run it to suit and kick on the turn. But ROYAL ACE will be within striking distance. He’s a known second up performer and comes out of what looks a good form race behind Curragh at The Bool. CONNERY also ran at the Bool and won over 1400m. He’s never missed the money at this trip and should enjoy a comfortable midfield run in transit. They look the winning chances, so with an eye to the future watch first up stayers BEDFORD, MISTER BELVEDERE (UK import) and HARTANI (1230 days off!).

RACE 5 - Benchmark 64 Handicap (1800m)

Speed map/race shape: Moshway wants the front here and has plenty of time to find it over 1800m. One of Tuscon Arizona and Mellors can join him, the other must relent. Meteor Light and Tavirun draw the book ends but can converge to sit on-pace as well.

Advantaged runners: Tough race to sort out and would advise going wide in quaddies. MELLORS is on a hat-trick and in this company, he gets every chance. He’s done it chasing outside the leader both times, why not three in a row? He just pipped DOROZA last time out, that colt was second up and was once thought of as a Derby prospect by connections. Both TAVIRUN and DUNLANI didn’t quite measure up in better grade last start and are both well placed here. SURETOSHINE is lightly raced and open to improvement, but has raced well here to date and will be making late headway.
 
RACE 6 - 4yo+ Mares Benchmark 70 Handicap (1800m)

Speed map/race shape: La Belle Jude maps to find the front, but she may not have it all her own way. Tata Da Goose, Jane’s Angel and Midoriyama can all keep her company if desired.

Advantaged runners: BEA TEMPTED is a lightly-raced mare on the up and can bounce back to form third up. She won on resumption with a leg in the air, then got too far back and wide at The Bool. She'll be out the back again here but these conditions appear more suitable. Similarly LA BELLE JUDE was no match for Grinzinger Star and co last start, but was in top form prior at this distance range and is the one to catch. JANE’S ANGEL will be in close attendance and produces her best efforts when racing on-pace, the extra trip suits. PAINT THE TOWN TWO is another suited under these conditions but may get back from a wide draw. Looking wider, PLAY THAT SONG’s record isn’t flash but she held her ground last start behind Savvy Oak, who then placed in the SA Derby. A knockout hope, but needs favours.

RACE 7 - 3YO Fillies Benchmark 64 Handicap (1300m)

Speed map/race shape: This looks a charge of the light brigade. From wide, Honeysuckle Choice, Maid Equal and Consortium (emergency) may all go forward. They’ll need to cross Sovereign Award, Shark In The Water, The Great Bratski and Wild Flyer, among others.

Advantaged runners: Who can absorb the pressure best? OUR CAMPANA has fitness on her side. She won at a wet Cranbourne when scouting wide throughout and draws to trail this speed in her quest for a hat-trick. Likewise CLASSIC CHOICE is deep into her prep, she has raced on-pace of late but may just let them go here, as she did when winning three back. She also has Fidelia form at this track/trip, just pipping DIAMOND BLISS at the line. That filly was only second up so will improve. MAID EQUAL and SOVEREIGN BLISS arrive off wins but this is much harder – albeit the latter’s was an effortless seven length romp. From further back JAY JAY DAR should lap up the extra distance and has Saturday form.

RACE 8 - Benchmark 70 Handicap (1300m)

Speed map/race shape: Asgard Massif and Saucy Jack are the speediest combatants here and should look for the front from ideal draws. The likes of Holy Command, Moet Rose and Mossbelle will be handy as well.

Advantaged runners: Aside from his one run when ‘thrown in the deep end’ this prep, ASGARD MASSIF’s form is near flawless. He smashed them at 3YO level at this track/trip last week and we’ll take the back up as a positive sign. HOLY COMMAND gets the gun run on his back from barrier one. He was good at Saturday level around Caulfield and the form has stood up interstate. MOET ROSE will also position handily and has been sound at both efforts this preparation, so gets her chance to break through. Interesting that ARISTOCRATIC MISS is here and not the fillies event prior. Presents third up off a run in Listed grade in Adelaide and with a 3kg claim so must be respected. 

SUNSHINE COAST

Track: Heavy 8 

Rail: True entire

Weather: Showers

Consistent showers in the lead up to race day means we’ll likely be in the Heavy range for a rare Wednesday meeting on the Sunshine Coast. The rail is in the True and that may mean they look to come off the fence and look for the crown of the track.

RACE 1 - Maiden Handicap (1600m)

Speed map/race shape: Eight acceptors and half would be happy to lead. The likes of From Now, Half Moon Blue, Wicked Heights and Hermitage can all go forward. 

Advantaged runners: Whoever finds the front may turn it into a sit and sprint. That could be FROM NOW who has raced on-pace at his last couple. He handles the wet and is ready for the mile. AUSFALL just missed at Eagle Farm and it may be the strongest form line, just won’t want to get buried on the rail. HERMITAGE had the better of MIS MACEY and GOOD TIME GIRL at this venue over 1300m. Suspect the latter gains the most out of the extra trip and she has fitness from a long prep, including a run at 2050m. Don’t dismiss THE INVESTIGATOR who is clearly a wet tracker.

RACE 2 - 3YO Handicap (2200m)

Speed map/race shape: Small field of 3YOs. Sid is the clear leader, expect a similar tempo to when he led a few of these in a dawdle at Eagle Farm. Perhaps Searing Speed or Mishani Braveheart joins him.

Advantaged runners: All signs point to MISHANI BRAVEHEART turning the tables on SEARING SPEED from that aforementioned race. Mishani was five weeks between runs when Searing got over the top of him. He gets a 2kg weight swing for a 0.5L defeat and importantly, had relished the wet prior. The Kiwi filly INTRIGUE carries topweight, she did it tough in the Gold Coast Bracelet. She may be scratched to run in The Roses on Saturday, on the way to the Oaks. Bring TAKEITTOTHELIMIT into calculations, she handles the wet.

RACE 3 - Set Weights Maiden Plate (1000m)

Speed map/race shape: Oh boy. Omorfos, Astrobaby, Aceplay and Love Ya Blue should go forward and be the leading quartet. Unsure where the two debutants settle.

Advantaged runners: Speaking of debutants, Snitzel filly CARRERA TO THE MAX is on debut for Kiwi trainer Nigel Tilley. He’s got a few runners loitering in Queensland at carnival time and betting must be respected here. Going down the list, ACEPLAY and LOVE YA BLUE will improve off last start, second up placings at this track, ASTROBABY has fitness deep into her second prep and gets a gear change, while GLOBAL CHOICE is a filly open to improvement off a long break. Respect to the persistent connections of POWER FROM WITHIN, looking for her first win at start number 54.

RACE 4 - 2YO Handicap (1000m)

Speed map/race shape: Lots of contenders to take this up. Well Prepared, Clever Miss and Neptune’s Spear are chief among them but White Satin Dancer, Ready To Roam, She’s Whittie and Ramblin’ Man are all candidates as well. No prisoners over the 1000m here.

Advantaged runners: A lot of really good form in this race. No’s 7 & 11 scratched early, seven of the remaining 12 are winners. One of the non-winners is READY TO ROAM, who has had two months off after placing in three hot city-class events, including the rich Gold Coast Jewel race. He has speed, handles the wet and holds a Group 1 JJ Atkins nomination. He’ll have to run down NEPTUNE’S SPEAR whose only failure has come in the Karaka Million, with excuses too! WELL PREPARED tired after a tough run at Listed level when pressured the entire journey, a race where MAGIC DESERT MOON had no chance after being slowly away. RAMBLIN MAN was a speedy winner here last start and must be included in the chances.

RACE 5 - Class 3 Handicap (1800m)

Speed map/race shape: Downloading should look to roll forward from wide and join Iron Duke in the leading par, giving Galaxy Guru the box seat run off the inside alley. 

Advantaged runners: Bookies and punters alike are struggling to sort this lot out early. Lots of runners happy to bide their time midfield here. GALAXY GURU has been given a month to freshen up off consecutive wins, most recently at this track and trip. IRON DUKE also got the job done here last start, but both come out of slightly easier affairs than SENRIMA TIDE. He just edged out SPANISH HURRICANE at this level last start, that runner then finished second over this trip at the Gold Coast and is on a week back up here. DOWNLOADING and CURRUMBIN CRAFT contested a Class 4 race at Eagle Farm last start – the latter is a genuine wet tracker. PROUD CAPTAIN can improve sharply off the fresh run. Chances galore!
RACE 6 - Set Weights Class 5 Plate (1400m)

Speed map/race shape: Not a lot of speed on here, with Clairvue Diamond the clear leader but few candidates to take him on. Intrinsic, Dissolution and Zanyetta could lob in behind.

Advantaged runners: Looking at a potential sit and sprint affair if CLAIRVUE DIAMOND stacks them up. TOTALLY CHARMED has placed at three of four runs this prep and the extra 100m is in his favour. He ran into INTRINSIC two back and beat her home, she was eight weeks fresh there and improved at her subsequent 1400m run. Both are untested on Heavy but have won on Soft. DISSOLUTION should have won at his first Brisbane run a fortnight ago when held up late. He’s never appreciated rain-affected ground though. The more proven wet-trackers are ex-Kiwi ZANYETTA, NORDIC SHOW, QUICK KETCH and CONSTANTINE, all of whom have patchy overall form and are subsequently double figures!

RACE 7 - Benchmark 65 Handicap (1200m)

Speed map/race shape: Big field and a hot tempo anticipated. King Ragnar, Flamin’ Mogul and Striking Distance have all drawn low and should attempt to hold out Ritchford, No Refund, Vienna Moon and Miss Defiance. High likelihood of a three-wide line throughout. 

Advantaged runners: KING RAGNAR and STRIKING DISTANCE both have wet track credentials and should lead the field into the home straight. Their chances depend on the pressure placed on them throughout by a horse like VIENNA MOON who may want to find the front. She’s an obvious chance if she does, but may have to spend some petrol in testing conditions. This may be set up for an off-speed runner to reel them in down the long straight and IL RICCIO is an obvious contender. He’s yet to miss the placings on Heavy and is coming off a Soft track win. Ex-Goulburn based TREVELYAN is a big watch fresh, he’s won on a Soft 7 before and has clear upside. He’ll be running on with ex-Snowden gelding DELFUEGO who is open to improvement as well.

RACE 8 - 3YO Handicap (1000m)

Speed map/race shape: Again, lots of front-running horses in the last on the card. The potential leaders include (inside to outside) Ramtastic, Moonan Joyce, Dram Of Delago, Lotsa Spirit, Bold Aurora, Pizonie and Jami Lady, They can’t all lead!

Advantaged runners: Another wide open race to finish the day and the off-pacers will get their chance. UNCONDITIONAL has handled the wet before and can enjoy a quiet run from the low draw first up. So too will LOVE SQUIRRELS who did fail on the Heavy at her only attempt, albeit in Stakes grade. They’ll be saved up for one crack at them, but CONQUERMORE may have the jump on that pair. Typically an on pacer, she may be restrained into the three-wide line and has the strongest fitness base of any runner here. Yes, the resuming PLUMARO also falls into the backmarker basket. She’ll be to be better over further although horses with 1200m-1400m form may be suited in these conditions. Respect to the primary pacemakers RAMTASTIC (sound wet form) and PIZONIE (Rock Beat form).

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