History Says - Zipping Classic Day

Sandown's big day of Spring has a reputation as a day for the punters, but do the records back it up? History Says investigates.

The record books show that Sender was officially a $61 chance when he won the 2006 Sandown Guineas, but those who backed it on the tote were rewarded with a win dividend upwards of $110.

Five years later So Swift won the same race at $19, while Petrology ($14) is another upset winner of the 1600-metre Group 2 that is a highlight of the last metro meeting of the Spring Carnival.

It's a little ironic then that Sandown's only meeting of the Spring Carnival has a reputation as a day for the punters.

Well, punters who like to home in on those towards the head of the market, at least.

Sender might have ruined most quaddies with his Guineas win, but that was the exception rather than the rule at that meeting. No other winner started longer than $8 and seven of the nine were sent out $6 or shorter with four favourites successful.

It's a trend that has continued in ensuing years and, since the start of that 2006 Sandown card, had a punter had $10 on each favourite, or equal favourite, at their official starting price they would have collected $1331.50 for their $1140 outlay.

Punters often reminisce about November 15, 2008 when Instructor ($4ef), Gran Sasso ($3.80f), Yesterday ($3.70f), Captain Bax ($4.20f), Caymans ($3.20f), Zipping ($2.05f) and Chasm ($3.90) won consecutive races.

Those who had $10 on each favourite that day got back $248.50 for their $100.

Other years that punters made a profit off the same staking plan were 2006 (four favourites - $90 out, $145 in), 2010 (four favourites - $90 out, $154 in), 2012 (four favourites - $90 out, $151 in), 2013 (five favourites - $90 out, $145.50 in), 2015 (two favourites - $90 out, $98 in) and 2016 (five favourites, $110 out - $129 in).

The problem for punters in the lead-up to Saturday could be identifying who starts favourite in a lot of the races.

Fifty Stars will be the hottest favourite of the day in the Sandown Stakes (Race 6), Ringerdingding the likely top pick in the Sandown Guineas (Race 7) and Into The Abyss will most likely get the nod in an open Twilight Glow Stakes (Race 3), but favouritism in most other races is up for decision.

Ringerdingding, who flashed home from the rear to win over 1400m at Flemington last Saturday, will defy a trend of Sandown Guineas winners if he wins after backing up.

A Guineas winner has not backed up after running on the final day of the Flemington Carnival since Binding in 2004.

Seven of the past 11 Guineas winners have come out of the Carbine Club Stakes, all of which ran in the first four.

Secret Blaze, the Carbine Club third placegetter, is the only one of the first four home in this year's Carbine Club running this year, with Zoutori (fifth), Good 'N' Fast (eighth) and Syd's Coin (11th) the others engaged.

The Zipping Classic winner has not started longer than $8.50 since Brave Chief in 2000, with seven of the past 11 having come through the Melbourne Cup.

Just two of this year's field are coming out of the Flemington two-miler; 2015 winner Who Shot Thebarman (an $11 chance with BetEasy on Thursday morning) and Ventura Storm ($6).