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Raceday wagering review
11 Nov 2017 | ThoroughbredNEWS News Desk 

The wagering review of Saturday's TAB.com au fixed odds betting for VRC Stakes meeting at Flemington and the ATC's meeting at Rosehill.


FLEMINGTON

 

RACE ONE

Favourite backers took a big hit here as the heavily tried King failed to run a place.

The Team Snowden-trained runner was $5 on Wednesday and bottomed out at $3 today to win the Maribyrnong Plate (1000 metres), however, after leading he faded to finish midfield.

King was responsible for 60 percent of all bets on the race and was one of the best backed runners at Flemington on the day.

Run Naan ($14-$10-$13) flew home down the centre of the track to secure the win for trainer Tony McEvoy and Andrew Mallyon, beating the fancied pair of Encryption ($5.50) and Bionics ($5.50-$5).

BETS: King $7,500 e/w @ $3/$1.45

 

RACE TWO

Oncidium Ruler ($14-$9) attracted some good money throughout the day and proved too tough for his opposition.

Enjoying a good run back on the fence as Tarquin ($4.80-$5) worked to find the front, jockey Beau Mertens managed to squeeze in between runners midway down the straight as Knowable, which sat behind the leader, hit the front.

The pair squared off over the concluding stages with Oncidium Ruler getting the better of Knowable ($9.50-$8.50), with Have Plenty ($10) winding up in third spot.

Tarquin was the most popular runner in terms of money taken while Oncidium Ruler, which held just over half the money that the Godolphin runner did, was next best.

BETS: Tarquin $2,000 e/w @ $5/$1.95

BETS: Meet And Greet $5,000 x $1,000 @ $5/$1.95

BETS: Oncidium Ruler $1,000 @ $9

 

RACE THREE

Fastnet Tempest landed some big bets in taking out the third event on the card at Flemington.

Coming with a big run at the 500 metre mark, Fastnet Tempest ($2.30-$2.80) then had to hold off the fast-finishing Raw Impulse ($7-$7.50) with Kerrin McEvoy getting the most out of the favourite.

Jacquinot Bay ($5.50-$4.80) did it tough outside the leader and after hitting the front soon on straightening, battled on to be close up in third.

The William Haggas-trained runner held 56 percent of the total investment.

BETS: Fastnet Tempest $6,000 @ $2.80, $3,600 @ $2.80, $3,000 @ $2.80

BETS: Jacquinot Bay $2,000 @ $5

BETS: Coldstone $2,000 @ $6.50, $2,000 @ $6, $5,000 @ $3.15 PLACE

 

RACE FOUR

Moher ($13-$9-$10) held on in a terrific finish to land the cash in the Sensis Digital Trophy (1400 metres).

Sitting fifth in the run, jockey Damien Lane managed to barge into the clear at the 350 metre mark with the Sydneysider bursting to the lead inside the 200 metres.

Duke Of Brunswick ($10-$18) flashed late and only missed out by a nose while Ruettiger ($11) was close up in third.

Although Moher did have some specking earlier in the day, most of the late money came for Lord Aspen ($5.50-$3.90-$4.40) while Liten In My Veins bottomed out at $3 in the morning but blew out badly to start $4.20.

Liten In My Veins and Lord Aspen held 63 percent of all bets between them.

BETS: Moher $2,000 @ $11

 

RACE FIVE

Vengeur Masque ($9.50-$6.50) led throughout to score somewhat of an upset in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2600 metres).

The Michael Moroney-trained galloper was specked during the day and was one of the key firmers from a betting perspective, however, had to fight off a serious challenge by Grey Lion ($23) in the straight after that horse enjoyed the run on its back.

Wheal Leisure ($10-$9.50) wound up third but the race was a disaster for most TAB customers after the heavily backed pair of Qewy ($3.20) and Kiwia ($5) failed to figure in the finish.

Between them they held nearly 60 percent of the total investment.

BETS: Qewy $5,000 @ $3.20, $1,000 @ $3.20 MULTIPLE TIMES

BETS: Vengeur Masque $4,500 @ $9

BETS: Violate e/w @ $1,000 @ $19/$4.35

BETS: Kiwia $20,000 @ $1.80 PLACE

 

RACE SIX

Savapinski ($5) was rock solid in the betting and did the job for its backers when leading all the way in the Matriarch Stakes (2000 metres).

Ridden a treat by Brenton Avdulla, Savapinski burned over from barrier 13 to lead and hold off the fast-finishing Payroll ($10-$8-$10) and Token of Love ($21), with the latter trailing the leader throughout.

While the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained winner attracted good money, it was the stablemate of Prompt Response (fourth) which was the money horse late in betting. Opening at $6.50 today, it was backed into $4.40 favouritism. Tahanee ($6-$4.80) was the other one to catch the eye late for punters.

Of the others, Heavens Above ($9) was popular but blew late in betting and was the third best tried in the race behind Prompt Response and Tahanee.

BETS: Savapinski $3,395 @ $5

BETS: Tahanee $2,000 @ $4.60

BETS: Heavens Above $2,000 @ $6.50

BETS: Payroll $5,000 @ $10

 

 

RACE SEVEN

Redzel ($4.40-$4-$4.40) made it six straight wins when successful in the $1million Darley Classic (1200 metres).

Coming down the grandstand side of the track, Redzel was strong to the line in beating the fast-finishing Terravista ($41-$31) and Impending ($6-$9.50) not far off.

Chautauqua ($6-$4.60) went out as the most popular horse in terms of money taken with 36 percent of the hold while Redzel was the next best at 32 percent. Those two were clearly the best tried in the race and were nearly five times as popular as the next best backed runners in Impending and Redkirk Warrior ($13-$9.50).

BETS: Chautauqua $5,000 @ $4.60

BETS: Impending $3,000 @ $7

BETS: Redzel $5,000 @ $4.20, $3,450 @ $4.20

BETS: Spieth $1,000 @ e/w $23/$5, $2,000 @ $17

 

RACE EIGHT

Tosen Stardom ($6) came with a magnificent finishing burst to win the $2million Emirates Stakes (2000 metres).

Jockey Damien Lane had to peel around heels midway down the running but when he found clear air, Tosen Stardom sprinted quickly to swamp the leaders and get the result.

Happy Clapper ($8) flashed home for second while It's Somewhat ($18) nabbed third in a blanket finish for third.

Folkswood ($3.70) went around the best supported runner with TAB customers and was responsible for a third of all bets on the race. Cliff's Edge ($6.50) was next best backed with stablemate Tosen Stardom the third best tried.

The markets were reshuffled late in the piece when the heavily backed Gingernuts had to be scratched just before the race.

BETS: Tosen Stardom $12,000 x $7,000 e/w @ $9/$2.95

BETS: Folkswood $4,000 @ $5, $5,000 @ $4.80, $3,000 @ $4.60, $5,000 @ $3.70

BETS: Its Somewhat $2,000 @ $18

BETS: Odeon $3,000 @ $12

BETS: Cliff's Edge $2,000 @ $9, $1,000 e/w @ $9/$2.95

 

RACE NINE

Kentucky Breeze ($26-$31-$18) flashed home late to take out the Emirates Airline Handicap (1400 metres) in a thrilling finish.

Jockey Corey Brown found a gap in the closing stages with the Levi Kavanagh-trained runner bursting through to score over the late closing Muraaqeb ($5.50-$8.50) which was a drifter in the market.

Sirconni fought on doggedly ($14) to hold third in front of a wall of horses.

Favourite backers chimed in to Andaz ($3.60-$3-$3.50) earlier in the day while the later firmer was Tamasa ($5-$4.60) which attracted a number of big bets. Of the others, Trekking ($5-$4.60-$5) looked the winner at one point down the straight but didn't finish it off and ended up unplaced. The Godolphin runner was the third best backed runner in the race.

BETS: Kentucky Breeze $2,500 @ $26, $1,000 @ $21, $1,000 x $2,000 e/w @ $17/$4.30

BETS: Trekking $7,000 @ $4.60, $3,520 @ $4.60

BETS: Tamasa $2,000 @ $5, $1,000 @ $5 MULTIPLE TIMES

 

ROSEHILL

 

RACE ONE

Not a keen betting race to begin the day in Sydney but savvy bettors did not miss Dynamited ($5-$4.20) which did all the work outside the leader to score.

The winner was only one of two firmers in betting along with Madam Choice ($7.50-$5.50-$6.50) which failed to run top four.

Favourite Sangita ($2.80-$3.70) could only manage fourth after easing noticeably in betting but she was not the only drifter, with Secret Lady ran second and was $3.30 out to $4.40.

Thirty three per cent of the money was for Dynamited while Sangita was responsible for 17 per cent of the hold.

A win to the punters in the first.

BIG BETS: Dynamited $1,600 at $4.40

BIG BETS: Sangita $1,000 @ $3.80

 

RACE TWO

The second event was a painless watch for punters as the well backed $1.50 favourite, Unforgotten, rounded up his three-year-old rivals with consummate ease after opening up at $1.75 earlier on race morning.

This up-and-coming daughter of Fastnet Rock held 70 per cent of the money on the race and those who put their faith in her were not let down.

All other runners were either easy or just steady in betting.

Two of the more eye-catching drifters were Popular ($3.90-$6.50) and Falster ($12-$26) which were consequently both unplaced.

Cajetan ($12), which led, battled on for second while Destiny's Own ($10-$7-$9) had some good money earlier in the day and got out late to run third.

BIG BETS: Unforgotten $5,000 @ $1.60

 

RACE THREE

A stout staying performance by Vassal ($6-$10-$9.50) helped the bookmakers claw one back after taking a battering in the early part of the program.

About 45 per cent of money on the race was for the favourite, Karavali, which hovered between $2.60 and $2.70 for much of the lead up but never really got warm and just ground away into fourth.

Twenty two per cent of the hold was for Victorian visitor and easing second favourite Lycurgus which was $3.40 out to $4.20 before just being nosed out by the top weight.

Chris Waller trained the winner but his more fancied runner, Great Glen ($14-$5.50), was heavily backed on the morning of raceday and finished third.

Notable easers were Olympic Academy ($5-$8) and Something Borrowed ($41-$126)

BIG BETS: Karavali $2,200 @ $2.70

BIG BETS: Lycurgus $1,500 @ $3.20

 

RACE FOUR

The majority of punters came from everywhere to back one horse and that was Bon Amis ($1.30) which was hammered late in betting.

The gelding jumped well and led all of the way to win comfortably for short-priced favourite backers.

A staggering 76 per cent of the hold was for the hot favourite while next best supported was Blowing Kisses ($11) which was responsible for eight per cent of fixed odds money with TAB.com.au.

BIG BETS: Bon Amis $100,000 @ $1.40, $20,000 @ $1.35

 

RACE FIVE

Only the six runners went around in race five and Mortar Platoon started favourite at $3.70 but found a few traffic problems up the straight before finishing third.

The winner, Intueri ($4.20), gave Jay Ford a double and landed some very handy bets. The Team Hawkes-trained runner was responsible for 29 per cent of the race’s hold.

In what was still a losing result for TAB, runner-up Miss Dubois ($4.80) would have been a significantly worse result as the hold on it was approximately 34 per cent.

BIG BETS: Intueri $1,000 @ $4.20

BIG BETS: Be Like Dad $1,000 each way @ $7.50/$3.40

 

 

RACE SIX

Another Highway winner for trainer Danny Williams as Tiger By The Tale ($21-$23) got in narrowly, holding off the fast-finishing Roseito ($4.40-$4.20).

A few big bets were taken for Schedule ($6-$6.50-$6) which fell by the wayside after the gelding finished fourth. He was responsible for nearly a quarter of the money on the race and Highway Sixtysix ($3.60-$5), which was soft in betting, was the cause for another 25 per cent of the hold.

Unplaced favourite Isla Tristana ($4.80-$4.20) was firm early in the day and then petered around her eventual starting price late in the piece.

Jar Of Hearts ($15-$26) was the biggest drifter in the race.

BIG BETS: Highway Sixtysix $2,000 @ $3.80

BIG BETS: Schedule $2,500 @ $6

 

RACE SEVEN

A welcome result for the bookmakers at TAB.com.au here with second favourite Just Dreaming ($3.90-$4.60-$4.40) winning and, in doing so, beating Dagny ($5.50-$4.60-$5.50) which was on the third line of betting.

The well beaten favourite and one of the best backed runners all day was Stonebrook ($2). The bookmakers appeared to be keen to take it on and they were spot on as the gelding led and gave up in the straight.

Proof of a great result for the bookies, Stonebrook held around 58 per cent of money on the race.

Third-placegetter O’Reilly’s Revenge ($41-$126-$101) and fourth-placegetter Zenalicious ($10-$14-$12) were both easy in betting but would have been negative results respectively for the bookmakers here at TAB.com.au.

BIG BETS: Stonebrook $9,500 @ $2

BIG BETS: Just Dreaming $1,500 place @ $2

 

RACE EIGHT

There was a nose between a good and bad result for the bookmakers.

The nose margin went the way of bookies and Machinegun Jubs ($13-$9.50) while easing favourite, majority money holder of the book (35 per cent) and narrow runner-up Zonk ($2.30-$3.50) was laid heavily by TAB.com.au.

In Times Of War ($4.60-$3) started favourite and was well-backed early in the piece before finishing a close-up third.

Apart from firmers In Times Of War, Machinegun Jubs and Vigilance ($8-$7), the six other runners were all easy in betting.

BIG BETS: In Times Of War $2,000 @ $3

BIG BETS: Zonk $2,000 @ $3

 

RACE NINE

Favourite Redouble ($3.40) ran down second favourite Dreamforce ($3.60) in the straight which ended up being a positive result on TAB.com.au’s ledger.

Had he have won, Dreamforce would have given punters the dream result in the last as he held 35 per cent of the hold.

Along with Dreamforce, Invicta ($34) was specked at the big odds and would have also been a losing result for TAB.com.au.

BIG BETS: Dreamforce $4,000 each way @ $3.50/$1.50

BIG BETS: Barthelona $1,000 each way @ $10/$2.70

BETS: King Darci $5,000 @ $5

BETS: Redouble $2,000 @ $3.80, $1,000 @ $3.40 MULTIPLE TIMES

 

 

 
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